Weather and Climate Monitoring and Prediction Systems in the Context of Agriculture
Pralhad Jaybhaye
9781774690307
314 pages
Arcler Education Inc
Overview
Climate forecasts show the potential to improve agriculture’s ability to withstand climate shocks, but it is still uncertain how farmers will use this data in crop management decisions plus whether doing so will profit them. This volume introduces the most commonly used forecasting strategies in agriculture, like probability forecasting, real-time forecasting and ultra-short distance forecasting.
These determine the pattern of planting dates and crop varieties, the latter being more common where more extensive weather forecasting methods exist. Hybrid strategies usually use more input elements (such as crop varieties) to define the strategy (such as sowing period). Production estimates indicate that, in most cases, using forecasted values can increase production with relatively minimal loss.
The impact depends on the nature of actual rainy season, the forecast accuracy and the kind of response. In wet years, with the consolidation of the policy and accurate forecast, the positive response will be higher. This proves that climate prediction can help farmers acclimatize to climate variability, particularly to help them take advantage of the expected favorable conditions. The realization of possible advantages is related to the context of greater variety selection and enhanced selection. Even so, modern advances in weather modeling have improved the ability to accurately forecast rainfall through dynamic forecasting and statistical techniques.
Author Bio
Dr. Pralhad Jaybhaye (1972) is presently serving as Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Meteorology, Vasantrao Naik Marathwada Krushi Vidyapeeth, Parhani, Maharashtra. He did his B. Sc.(Ag.) in 1995 and M. Sc. (Agril. Meteorology) 1998 from Mahatma Phule Krushi Vidyapeeth, Parbhani and Ph. D. (Agril. Meteorology &Physics) in 2020 from BCKV, Mohanpur, West Bengal. He started his career as a technical officer (Agrometeorology) in 2000 and as a Assistant professor in 2008. His field of specialization is Micrometeorology and Extension Agrometeorology. In addition to this, he has performed additional duties as a Nodal officer, Commercial Fruit Nursery (2005-2008) and Principal Nodal officer, GKMS & FASAL project (2008-20016). He was conducted National workshop, farmer training programmes, workshops and farmer’s rallies. During his total 20 years’ tenure of services, he has published one text book (Handbook of Agrometeorology) and other 6 books related to Agrometeorology; 25 research papers & 05 short communications in international and national reputed journals. He has participated and presented research papers more than 25 International, National, State Seminar, workshops and symposiums. He has written 01 practical manuals for under graduate course to the benefit of students; besides these activities TV (15) & Radio talks (200), guest Lectures in scientist training & farmer training programmes. Dr. Pralhad Jaybhaye has also written more than 400 popular articles in reputed regional language periodicals and daily news papers.
